{ "contract_version": "implan_audit_mode.v0", "evidence_surface_contract_version": "evidence_surface.v1", "observation_contract": { "contract_version": "evidence_surface.v1", "observation_fields": [ "observation_id", "kind", "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics", "unit", "source_type" ], "stable_contract_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ], "compatibility_fields": [ "unit", "source_type" ], "trend_state_fields": [ "metric", "state", "level", "slope", "acceleration", "volatility", "peer_percentile", "structural_break", "capacity_distance", "revision_risk", "suppression_risk", "freshness_decay", "contradiction_index" ], "impact_hypotheses": [ "genuine_expansion", "displacement", "substitution", "leakage_dominant", "non_materialization" ], "viability_hypotheses": [ "financeable_as_scoped", "undercapitalized_or_scope_mismatch", "permitting_delay", "operating_shortfall", "fiscal_mismatch", "community_capacity_binding" ], "observation_kinds": { "base_model_input": { "purpose": "Solved model input or provenance fact that sets the evidence floor.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "decision_uncertainty_parameter": { "purpose": "Decision-layer uncertainty parameter and its evidence standing.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "hypothesis_evidence_atom": { "purpose": "Governed evidence atom that moves competing hypotheses.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "data_quality_penalty": { "purpose": "Weakness in public/API or validation evidence that affects confidence.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "trend_early_warning_indicator": { "purpose": "Time-series or practice-state warning before the client claim travels.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "disclosed_but_not_used_fact": { "purpose": "Relevant fact disclosed but intentionally not used in the model.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "missing_expected_evidence": { "purpose": "Expected evidence absent under a live hypothesis or claim gate.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] } } }, "gate_taxonomy": { "evidence_surface_contract": "evidence_surface.v1", "sweep_sources": [ "competitive_intel/implan_case_studies.json", "research/IMPLAN_CASE_STUDY_SWEEP.md", "research/IMPLAN_AUDIT_MODE_V0_GATE_TAXONOMY.md" ], "gates": [ { "gate_id": "contribution_vs_impact_gate", "purpose": "Separate existing footprint, contribution, prospective impact, avoided loss, fiscal impact, and persuasion outcomes.", "trigger_terms": [ "impact", "contribution", "created", "retained", "secured", "benefit" ], "required_evidence": [ "claim type", "time frame", "baseline", "new-to-geography status", "counterfactual for prospective impact" ], "consequences": [ "Block existing footprint framed as new job creation.", "Warn when impact claims lack a counterfactual." ], "case_triggers": [ "agriculture", "apples", "brewers", "hospitals", "campus", "visitor attraction" ], "aliases": [ "impact vs contribution", "new jobs", "retained jobs", "counterfactual", "but-for", "economic contribution" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "claim classification", "baseline", "counterfactual", "time horizon" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "fiscal_truth_gate", "purpose": "Keep gross tax output, net public revenue, public cost, incentive cost, and jurisdictional capture in separate lanes.", "trigger_terms": [ "tax", "fiscal", "revenue", "abatement", "incentive", "public services" ], "required_evidence": [ "tax level", "recipient jurisdiction", "period", "public cost side", "gross/net label" ], "consequences": [ "Block gross taxes presented as net fiscal benefit.", "Warn when cost-side evidence is missing." ], "case_triggers": [ "data centers", "assisted living", "MSU FRIB", "wine", "NMTC", "housing authority" ], "aliases": [ "fiscal truth", "public revenue", "tax benefit", "net fiscal impact", "jurisdictional capture" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate", "tax_gross_vs_net_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "tax recipient", "public cost side", "gross/net label", "jurisdictional retention" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "visitor_spending_gate", "purpose": "Test whether visitor spending is attributable, nonlocal, correctly margined, and not resident churn.", "trigger_terms": [ "visitor", "tourism", "attendee", "lodging", "hotel", "recreation" ], "required_evidence": [ "visitor volume", "spend per visitor", "origin split", "local/nonlocal split", "displacement treatment" ], "consequences": [ "Block resident spending counted as export demand.", "Warn when retail margins or leakage are not disclosed." ], "case_triggers": [ "NPS", "Inner Harbor", "wine tourism", "Farm to School", "CSUN", "Georgia agriculture" ], "aliases": [ "visitor local split", "nonlocal visitors", "tourism spend", "resident churn", "retail margin" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate", "geography_fit_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "visitor volume", "origin split", "local/nonlocal split", "displacement", "margin treatment" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "survey_adequacy_gate", "purpose": "Downgrade claims resting on weak, heterogeneous, or non-representative surveys.", "trigger_terms": [ "survey", "sample", "response rate", "respondent", "questionnaire", "proxy data" ], "required_evidence": [ "sample frame", "invited count", "usable responses", "response rate", "weighting", "collection dates" ], "consequences": [ "Block survey-backed headlines without usable response count or response rate.", "Warn on low coverage or proxy substitution." ], "case_triggers": [ "apple association", "brewers association", "park visitors", "procurement responses" ], "aliases": [ "survey adequacy", "sample size", "response rate", "proxy data", "survey weighting" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "sample frame", "usable responses", "response rate", "coverage ratio", "collection dates" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "model_vintage_gate", "purpose": "Protect trend and update claims from stale or incomparable model years, dollar years, geographies, and sector schemes.", "trigger_terms": [ "update", "trend", "growth", "previous study", "model year", "data year", "inflation" ], "required_evidence": [ "model year", "source-data vintage", "dollar year", "deflator basis", "sector scheme", "geography" ], "consequences": [ "Block trend claims without reconciliation.", "Warn on stale vintages used outside trend claims." ], "case_triggers": [ "Mayo Clinic", "UI Research Park", "annual park studies", "Automotive Innovation" ], "aliases": [ "model vintage", "data year", "dollar year", "inflation basis", "trend comparability" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "model year", "dollar year", "deflator basis", "trend reconciliation", "sector scheme" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "geography_fit_gate", "purpose": "Test whether the model boundary matches the claim and whether sub-geography allocation is stated.", "trigger_terms": [ "county", "state", "metro", "district", "region", "gateway community", "local economy" ], "required_evidence": [ "boundary definition", "geography IDs", "allocation method", "local purchase assumptions", "spillover treatment" ], "consequences": [ "Block decision-maker geography claims without allocation logic.", "Warn when larger model regions hide leakage." ], "case_triggers": [ "district snapshots", "supplier diversity", "coastal Louisiana", "gateway communities" ], "aliases": [ "geography fit", "study area", "decision geography", "spillover", "leakage" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "boundary definition", "allocation method", "spillover treatment", "local purchase assumptions" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "tax_gross_vs_net_gate", "purpose": "Catch mislabeled tax arithmetic wherever it appears.", "trigger_terms": [ "tax revenue", "tax impact", "fiscal contribution", "property tax", "sales tax", "occupancy tax" ], "required_evidence": [ "tax base", "rate or model source", "recipient", "period", "construction/operations split", "gross or net label" ], "consequences": [ "Block fiscal-benefit labels on gross tax estimates.", "Warn when aggregate modeling cannot support a named tax recipient." ], "case_triggers": [ "wine", "data centers", "assisted living", "local incentives" ], "aliases": [ "gross vs net tax", "tax retention", "abatement", "incremental fiscal", "recipient jurisdiction" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "tax base", "tax rate", "recipient", "gross/net label", "construction/operations split" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "benefit_cost_gate", "purpose": "Prevent ROI, BCR, payback, and public-return ratios from mixing economic activity with public benefit or omitting public cost.", "trigger_terms": [ "ROI", "BCR", "benefit-cost", "return", "payback", "grant", "subsidy", "land gift" ], "required_evidence": [ "numerator", "denominator", "payer", "beneficiary", "public cost", "counterfactual", "discount rate" ], "consequences": [ "Block total output divided by subsidy and called ROI.", "Warn when benefits and costs use different geographies or horizons." ], "case_triggers": [ "Hawthorne", "Elkhart", "NMTC 12W", "Meister/Muscoda", "Baltimore reinvestment" ], "aliases": [ "BCA", "ROI", "benefit-cost ratio", "payback", "public return" ], "depends_on": [ "source_confidence_gate", "fiscal_truth_gate" ], "subchecks": [ "numerator", "denominator", "payer", "beneficiary", "discount rate", "counterfactual" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": true, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" }, { "gate_id": "source_confidence_gate", "purpose": "Set a claim floor from source type, provenance, vintage, and extractability.", "trigger_terms": [ "source", "prepared by", "client-supplied", "PDF", "appendix", "table", "OCR" ], "required_evidence": [ "source owner", "vintage", "locator", "extraction method", "checksum when known", "attestation for client-supplied inputs" ], "consequences": [ "Block headlines with no source.", "Downgrade stale, proxy, non-independent, or low-confidence extraction." ], "case_triggers": [ "consultant PDFs", "client direct inputs", "public microsites", "legacy studies", "spending workbooks" ], "aliases": [ "source confidence", "OCR confidence", "table recovery", "checksum", "client-supplied inputs" ], "depends_on": [], "subchecks": [ "source owner", "locator", "extraction method", "checksum", "table confidence", "attestation" ], "observation_kinds": [ "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "data_quality_penalty", "missing_expected_evidence" ], "blocks_release": true, "claim_scoped": false, "minimum_status_for_release": "pass", "status": "active" } ] }, "study_profile": { "title": "Regional Sports and Events Complex \u2014 Economic Impact (free-data path) :root { --ink: #1a1d21; --ink-soft: #4a5158; --ink-faint: #8b939b; --p", "source_file": "prt-synth-study.html", "study_type": "mixed", "sector_archetype": "real_estate", "geography": "national", "model_named": "RIMS II", "model_year": "", "dollar_year": "2024", "models_found": [ "RIMS II", "input-output" ] }, "claims": [ { "claim_id": "claim:001", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$4.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Regional Sports and Events Complex \u2014 Economic Impact (free-data path) Whether a $4.0M county contribution is recovered through the revenue the facility generates.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:002", "metric": "jobs", "value": "35", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "Where the wages land, by band and by household \u2014 which is not a share of anyone's profit and not a distribution to anyone's members Residents of the host community, and whoever speaks for them Examined \u2014 35 jobs placed across 5 income bands, averaging 74% of the regional median wage.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:003", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$5.4M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Summary of findings $5.4M Annual Operations \u2014 annual output every year at full operation 35.0 Annual Operations \u2014 jobs supported recurring while operating; direct, indirect and induced $8.0M Construction \u2014 one-time output total over the build period 26.1 Construction \u2014 job-years temporary, not permanent positions $340...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:004", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$8.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Summary of findings $5.4M Annual Operations \u2014 annual output every year at full operation 35.0 Annual Operations \u2014 jobs supported recurring while operating; direct, indirect and induced $8.0M Construction \u2014 one-time output total over the build period 26.1 Construction \u2014 job-years temporary, not permanent positions $340...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:005", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$340,912", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Summary of findings $5.4M Annual Operations \u2014 annual output every year at full operation 35.0 Annual Operations \u2014 jobs supported recurring while operating; direct, indirect and induced $8.0M Construction \u2014 one-time output total over the build period 26.1 Construction \u2014 job-years temporary, not permanent positions $340...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:006", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$2.1M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "28% of its demand is spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed before any figure above was computed, and $5.4M is what remains.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:007", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$5.4M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "28% of its demand is spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed before any figure above was computed, and $5.4M is what remains.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:008", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$58.8M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Over the 2026\u20132037 horizon the project generates $58.8M in total regional output undiscounted, or $47.0M in present value at 4.0%.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:009", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$47.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Over the 2026\u20132037 horizon the project generates $58.8M in total regional output undiscounted, or $47.0M in present value at 4.0%.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:010", "metric": "jobs", "value": "35.0", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "Once construction ends and operations reach full capacity, the recurring level is 35.0 jobs \u2014 the figure a community experiences year after year, and the one that should anchor any long-run expectation.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:011", "metric": "jobs", "value": "35", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Size Against How big that is What it says Annual Operations: jobs supported, per year 35 jobs all jobs in Illustrative County 20,000 jobs The project accounts for 0.17% of all jobs in Illustrative County.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:012", "metric": "jobs", "value": "20,000", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Size Against How big that is What it says Annual Operations: jobs supported, per year 35 jobs all jobs in Illustrative County 20,000 jobs The project accounts for 0.17% of all jobs in Illustrative County.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:013", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$2.3M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Annual Operations: value added, per year $2.3M the whole economy of Illustrative County (value added, which is what a county's GDP measures) $1.85B The project accounts for 0.13% of everything Illustrative County produces in a year.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:014", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$1.85B", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Annual Operations: value added, per year $2.3M the whole economy of Illustrative County (value added, which is what a county's GDP measures) $1.85B The project accounts for 0.13% of everything Illustrative County produces in a year.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:015", "metric": "jobs", "value": "241", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "The project is smaller than every industry in this region: the smallest, Manufacturing, supports 241 jobs against the project\u2019s 35.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:016", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$5.4M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Annual Operations: output, $5.4M What is withheld.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:017", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$11.2bn", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced by swapping one word, in a table whose gloss on the output row read that GDP is a measure of the overall size of the economy.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:018", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$6.96bn", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced by swapping one word, in a table whose gloss on the output row read that GDP is a measure of the overall size of the economy.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:019", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$2.3M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Value added is the comparable figure, and it is anchored above at $2.3M.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:020", "metric": "jobs", "value": "26", "unit": "job-years", "evidence_snippet": "Construction: 26 job-years What is withheld.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:021", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$0.333", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "The ratio itself is on the record: $0.333 of local consumption per $1.00 of local labor income, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:022", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$1.00", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "The ratio itself is on the record: $0.333 of local consumption per $1.00 of local labor income, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:023", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$5.9M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:024", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$1.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:025", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$1.1M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income 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Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:055", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$1.7M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:056", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$239k", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:057", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$331k", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:058", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$2.3M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:059", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$4.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:060", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$618,222", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:061", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$763,901", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:062", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$5.4M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:063", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$1.5M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:064", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$189,986", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:065", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$279,161", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:066", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$2.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:067", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$1.7M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:068", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$239,027", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:069", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$331,334", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:070", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$2.3M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:071", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$5.4M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "$0 $2.7M $5.4M 2026: $4.0M 2026 2027: $4.0M 2027 2028: $3.2M 2028 2029: $4.3M 2029 2030: $5.4M 2030 2031: $5.4M 2031 2032: $5.4M 2032 2033: $5.4M 2033 2034: $5.4M 2034 2035: $5.4M 2035 2036: $5.4M 2036 2037: $5.4M 2037 Regional output by year.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:072", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$4.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Year Regional output Jobs in that year Recurring or not 2026 $4.0M 13.1 not yet at the recurring level 2027 $4.0M 13.1 not yet at the recurring level 2028 $3.2M 21.0 not yet at the recurring level 2029 $4.3M 28.0 not yet at the recurring level 2030 $5.4M 35.0 at the recurring level 2031 $5.4M 35.0 at the recurring lev...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:073", "metric": "jobs", "value": "35.0", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "The recurring level is 35.0 jobs , and the 4 years before it are lower because construction and ramp-up have not yet given way to full operation; work counted in those years lasts as long as the year it sits in rather than continuing after it.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:074", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$58.8M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "$58.8M Total output, undiscounted 2026\u20132037 $47.0M Total output, present value discounted at 4.0% 35.0 Steady-state jobs recurring, once ramped Undiscounted versus present value The undiscounted total and the present value describe the same stream of activity.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:075", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$47.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "$58.8M Total output, undiscounted 2026\u20132037 $47.0M Total output, present value discounted at 4.0% 35.0 Steady-state jobs recurring, once ramped Undiscounted versus present value The undiscounted total and the present value describe the same stream of activity.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:076", "metric": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "value": "$122,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Fiscal impact $122,000 Local government each year at full operation $218,912 State government each year at full operation $467,611 Federal each year at full operation Why there is no tribal line No tribal rate appears in the Illustrative County tax structure, so there is no tribal line above.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:077", "metric": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "value": "$218,912", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Fiscal impact $122,000 Local government each year at full operation $218,912 State government each year at full operation $467,611 Federal each year at full operation Why there is no tribal line No tribal rate appears in the Illustrative County tax structure, so there is no tribal line above.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:078", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$208,073", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:079", "metric": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "value": "$127,529", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:080", "metric": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "value": "$226,949", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:081", "metric": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "value": "$245,973", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:082", "metric": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "value": "$808,523", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:083", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$1M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Type II (closed on households at the accounts-implied rate) Industry Output Labor income Jobs per $1M AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing 1.162 0.276 3.8 MIN \u2014 Mining and resource extraction 1.183 0.283 3.8 UTL \u2014 Utilities 1.386 0.469 4.3 CON \u2014 Construction 1.355 0.461 4.2 MFG \u2014 Manufacturing 1.766 0.524 5.2 WHL...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:084", "metric": "jobs", "value": "35", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "The modeled job mix averages 26% below the region's median wage The modeled job mix for 35 jobs averages 26% below the regional median wage ($34,250 job-weighted average wage against a $46,000 median).", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:085", "metric": "jobs", "value": "34,250", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "The modeled job mix averages 26% below the region's median wage The modeled job mix for 35 jobs averages 26% below the regional median wage ($34,250 job-weighted average wage against a $46,000 median).", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:086", "metric": "jobs", "value": "2.4", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "below 0.75x median below 0.75x median: 28.2 28.2 0.75x - 1.25x median 0.75x - 1.25x median: 4.4 4.4 above 1.25x median above 1.25x median: 2.4 2.4 Jobs supported, by what they pay relative to the region's median wage.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:087", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$25,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:088", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$50,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:089", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$75,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:090", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$100,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:091", "metric": "jobs", "value": "8.9", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "Occupation Jobs Share Average wage Food service workers 8.9 25.3% $24,500 Housekeeping and cleaning 4.0 11.3% $26,000 Recreation and fitness workers 3.5 10.0% $29,000 Front-desk and clerks 3.3 9.3% $30,500 Supervisors and managers 2.9 8.4% $47,441 Retail salespersons 2.1 6.1% $31,000 Maintenance 1.4 4.0% $38,000 Cashi...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:092", "metric": "jobs", "value": "3.5", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "Occupation Jobs Share Average wage Food service workers 8.9 25.3% $24,500 Housekeeping and cleaning 4.0 11.3% $26,000 Recreation and fitness workers 3.5 10.0% $29,000 Front-desk and clerks 3.3 9.3% $30,500 Supervisors and managers 2.9 8.4% $47,441 Retail salespersons 2.1 6.1% $31,000 Maintenance 1.4 4.0% $38,000 Cashi...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:093", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$947.5M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Key sector Buys locally Depended upon Share of output FIN \u2014 Finance, insurance, and real estate 1.04 1.01 7.5% The largest exposure is agriculture, forestry, and fishing: at most $947.5M of regional output goes with it AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forest\u2026 AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing: $947.5M $947.5M RET \u2014 Retail tr...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:094", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$537.4M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Key sector Buys locally Depended upon Share of output FIN \u2014 Finance, insurance, and real estate 1.04 1.01 7.5% The largest exposure is agriculture, forestry, and fishing: at most $947.5M of regional output goes with it AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forest\u2026 AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing: $947.5M $947.5M RET \u2014 Retail tr...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:095", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$213.8M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Imported Local share Regional output Scale Largest buyers MFG \u2014 Manufacturing $213.8M 8% $126.9M 1.7x AGR, MIN, RET RET \u2014 Retail trade $146.4M 32% $659.9M 0.2x AGR, MIN, HLT TRN \u2014 Transportation and warehousing $141.6M 25% $242.6M 0.6x AGR, MIN, RET WHL \u2014 Wholesale trade $133.8M 22% $187.3M 0.7x AGR, HLT, AC...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:096", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$126.9M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Imported Local share Regional output Scale Largest buyers MFG \u2014 Manufacturing $213.8M 8% $126.9M 1.7x AGR, MIN, RET RET \u2014 Retail trade $146.4M 32% $659.9M 0.2x AGR, MIN, HLT TRN \u2014 Transportation and warehousing $141.6M 25% $242.6M 0.6x AGR, MIN, RET WHL \u2014 Wholesale trade $133.8M 22% $187.3M 0.7x AGR, HLT, AC...", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:097", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$8.5M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:098", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$2.6M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:099", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$1.9M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:100", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$65,875", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:101", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$2,578,995", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:102", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$8,500,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:103", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$2,578,995", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Construction: the study assumes 62% of this spending is met by local producers and this region's table implies 32% \u2014 30% more local content than its structure supports, worth $2,578,995 of local final demand on $8,500,000 of spending.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:104", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$8,500,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Construction: the study assumes 62% of this spending is met by local producers and this region's table implies 32% \u2014 30% more local content than its structure supports, worth $2,578,995 of local final demand on $8,500,000 of spending.", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "high", "confidence_score": 0.78, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:105", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$1,596,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Accommodation, food service, and recreation: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $1,596,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:106", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$912,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Retail trade: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $912,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:107", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$304,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Professional and business services: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $304,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:108", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$342,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Transportation and warehousing: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $342,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:109", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$266,000", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Health, education, and social services: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $266,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:110", "metric": "jobs", "value": "34,250", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:111", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$2.1M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:112", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$2.0M", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:113", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$11.2bn", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:114", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$11.2bn", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:115", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$1.85B", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:116", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$6.96bn", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:117", "metric": "value_added_gdp", "value": "$477,274", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.61, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:118", "metric": "jobs", "value": "20,000", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "regional employment: 20,000 jobs across 12 sectors from BLS QCEW; suppression: two suppressed cells filled from the state ratio for the same sector 3.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:119", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$1", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "induced effects illustrative household closure at the accounts-implied consumption rate Lbar = (I - Abar)^-1 with a household row and column Local consumption per $1 of local labor income = $0.333, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:120", "metric": "labor_income", "value": "$0.333", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "induced effects illustrative household closure at the accounts-implied consumption rate Lbar = (I - Abar)^-1 with a household row and column Local consumption per $1 of local labor income = $0.333, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:121", "metric": "output_economic_activity", "value": "$1", "unit": "dollars", "evidence_snippet": "employment event: Facility staff estimated job count converted to industry output output = jobs / (jobs per $1 of output) The 22 stated jobs have the same output per worker as the regional average for ACC.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "low", "confidence_score": 0.45, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity" } }, { "claim_id": "claim:122", "metric": "jobs", "value": "1.25", "unit": "jobs", "evidence_snippet": "1.25 workers and 2.4 people per household.", "source_clue": "same sentence", "confidence": "medium", "confidence_score": 0.62, "observation_kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs" } } ], "gates": [ { "gate_id": "contribution_vs_impact_gate", "status": "pass", "reason": "Detected study type is mixed.", "missing_evidence": [], "related_observations": [], "consequence": "Claim type is at least machine-labelable from the text." }, { "gate_id": "fiscal_truth_gate", "status": "fail", "reason": "Fiscal revenue is detected, but no cost-side or net-fiscal treatment was detected.", "missing_evidence": [ "missing_public_cost_side" ], "related_observations": [ "missing_public_cost_side" ], "consequence": "Do not release fiscal benefit language as net benefit." }, { "gate_id": "visitor_spending_gate", "status": "pass", "reason": "Visitor/local or new-money language was detected.", "missing_evidence": [], "related_observations": [], "consequence": "The split is addressed; a reviewer should still check the arithmetic." }, { "gate_id": "survey_adequacy_gate", "status": "warn", "reason": "Survey coverage appears weak: 7 of 39 responses were detected.", "missing_evidence": [], "related_observations": [ "weak_survey_coverage" ], "consequence": "Carry the response weakness beside every survey-derived result." }, { "gate_id": "model_vintage_gate", "status": "fail", "reason": "RIMS II is named, but no model or data year was detected.", "missing_evidence": [ "missing_model_year" ], "related_observations": [ "missing_model_year" ], "consequence": "Do not release year-sensitive claims without vintage disclosure." }, { "gate_id": "geography_fit_gate", "status": "pass", "reason": "Detected study geography: national.", "missing_evidence": [], "related_observations": [], "consequence": "A geography is present for reviewer checks." }, { "gate_id": "tax_gross_vs_net_gate", "status": "fail", "reason": "Tax claims are detected, but gross-vs-net treatment was not detected.", "missing_evidence": [ "missing_tax_retention_or_netting" ], "related_observations": [ "missing_tax_retention_or_netting" ], "consequence": "Tax claims should not be used as fiscal benefit until retention is shown." }, { "gate_id": "benefit_cost_gate", "status": "pass", "reason": "Benefit-cost language includes cost, discount, and counterfactual cues.", "missing_evidence": [], "related_observations": [], "consequence": "The ratio is reviewable from the text cues." }, { "gate_id": "source_confidence_gate", "status": "pass", "reason": "Claims and source/method cues were detected.", "missing_evidence": [], "related_observations": [], "consequence": "Weigh every finding here against how much of the written standard could be checked mechanically on this document: 23 checks: 3 measured, 0 not matched, 20 need a reader." } ], "missing_evidence": [ { "missing_id": "missing_public_cost_side", "observation_kind": "missing_expected_evidence", "expected": "Public service costs, abatements, incentives, or other cost-side fiscal evidence", "reason": "Tax or fiscal revenue appears without a detected public cost-side ledger.", "consequence": "Gross tax revenue may be mistaken for net fiscal benefit.", "related_gate": "fiscal_truth_gate", "severity": "fail", "source_clue": "" }, { "missing_id": "missing_model_year", "observation_kind": "missing_expected_evidence", "expected": "Model year or data year", "reason": "RIMS II is named, but no model/data year was detected.", "consequence": "Model structure may not match the spending period.", "related_gate": "model_vintage_gate", "severity": "fail", "source_clue": "" }, { "missing_id": "missing_tax_retention_or_netting", "observation_kind": "missing_expected_evidence", "expected": "Gross-vs-net tax treatment and retention/abatement assumptions", "reason": "Tax revenue appears without gross/net or tax-retention language.", "consequence": "A gross tax collection can be mistaken for fiscal benefit to the decision maker.", "related_gate": "tax_gross_vs_net_gate", "severity": "fail", "source_clue": "" } ], "evidence_surface": { "contract_version": "evidence_surface.v1", "observation_contract": { "contract_version": "evidence_surface.v1", "observation_fields": [ "observation_id", "kind", "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics", "unit", "source_type" ], "stable_contract_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ], "compatibility_fields": [ "unit", "source_type" ], "trend_state_fields": [ "metric", "state", "level", "slope", "acceleration", "volatility", "peer_percentile", "structural_break", "capacity_distance", "revision_risk", "suppression_risk", "freshness_decay", "contradiction_index" ], "impact_hypotheses": [ "genuine_expansion", "displacement", "substitution", "leakage_dominant", "non_materialization" ], "viability_hypotheses": [ "financeable_as_scoped", "undercapitalized_or_scope_mismatch", "permitting_delay", "operating_shortfall", "fiscal_mismatch", "community_capacity_binding" ], "observation_kinds": { "base_model_input": { "purpose": "Solved model input or provenance fact that sets the evidence floor.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "decision_uncertainty_parameter": { "purpose": "Decision-layer uncertainty parameter and its evidence standing.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "hypothesis_evidence_atom": { "purpose": "Governed evidence atom that moves competing hypotheses.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "data_quality_penalty": { "purpose": "Weakness in public/API or validation evidence that affects confidence.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "trend_early_warning_indicator": { "purpose": "Time-series or practice-state warning before the client claim travels.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "disclosed_but_not_used_fact": { "purpose": "Relevant fact disclosed but intentionally not used in the model.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] }, "missing_expected_evidence": { "purpose": "Expected evidence absent under a live hypothesis or claim gate.", "required_fields": [ "claim", "consequence", "authority", "value", "provenance", "vintage", "checksum", "supports", "contradicts", "missing", "used", "signal_family", "direction", "weight", "diagnostics" ] } } }, "observation_count": 130, "missing_count": 3, "by_kind": { "data_quality_penalty": 2, "base_model_input": 3, "hypothesis_evidence_atom": 122, "missing_expected_evidence": 3 }, "observations": [ { "observation_id": "source:status", "kind": "data_quality_penalty", "claim": "Source extraction status: audit-safe.", "consequence": "Sets the floor for what the audit may claim from this document; a weak source cannot support a strong release finding.", "authority": "Project Red Team source intake", "value": "audit-safe", "provenance": "prt-synth-study.html", "vintage": "", "checksum": "3f30c7ac85181e3f44508990e29e4eeb2672634c173662c3e9a2f59a4f868f1a", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "source_confidence_gate", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 1.0, "diagnostics": { "source_file": "prt-synth-study.html", "source_kind": "html", "source_sha256": "3f30c7ac85181e3f44508990e29e4eeb2672634c173662c3e9a2f59a4f868f1a", "extraction_method": "read_text_utf8_replace", "source_status": "audit_safe", "source_readiness": 1.0, "text_extraction_quality": 1.0, "table_reconstruction_coverage": null, "confidence": 1.0, "pages": 0, "tables": 41, "text_lines": 1986, "table_lines": 0, "notes": [], "summary": "audit-safe: HTML; plain-text extraction; 1,986 text lines; 41 tables; 100% text extraction quality; HTML table markup supplied; 100% source readiness" }, "unit": "", "source_type": "html" }, { "observation_id": "base:model_name", "kind": "base_model_input", "claim": "Model named by the study: RIMS II.", "consequence": "Sets the audit context that gates use before any headline claim can travel.", "authority": "IMPLAN Audit Mode study-profile extractor", "value": "RIMS II", "provenance": "prt-synth-study.html", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "model_name", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.45, "diagnostics": { "study_type": "mixed", "sector_archetype": "real_estate" }, "unit": "model name", "source_type": "extracted_report_text" }, { "observation_id": "base:dollar_year", "kind": "base_model_input", "claim": "Dollar or currency year named by the study: 2024.", "consequence": "Sets the audit context that gates use before any headline claim can travel.", "authority": "IMPLAN Audit Mode study-profile extractor", "value": "2024", "provenance": "prt-synth-study.html", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "dollar_year", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.45, "diagnostics": { "study_type": "mixed", "sector_archetype": "real_estate" }, "unit": "dollar year", "source_type": "extracted_report_text" }, { "observation_id": "base:geography", "kind": "base_model_input", "claim": "Study geography named by the study: national.", "consequence": "Sets the audit context that gates use before any headline claim can travel.", "authority": "IMPLAN Audit Mode study-profile extractor", "value": "national", "provenance": "prt-synth-study.html", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "geography", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.45, "diagnostics": { "study_type": "mixed", "sector_archetype": "real_estate" }, "unit": "geography", "source_type": "extracted_report_text" }, { "observation_id": "claim:001", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $4.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$4.0M", "provenance": "Regional Sports and Events Complex \u2014 Economic Impact (free-data path) Whether a $4.0M county contribution is recovered through the revenue the facility generates.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:002", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 35 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "35", "provenance": "Where the wages land, by band and by household \u2014 which is not a share of anyone's profit and not a distribution to anyone's members Residents of the host community, and whoever speaks for them Examined \u2014 35 jobs placed across 5 income bands, averaging 74% of the regional median wage.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:003", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $5.4M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$5.4M", "provenance": "Summary of findings $5.4M Annual Operations \u2014 annual output every year at full operation 35.0 Annual Operations \u2014 jobs supported recurring while operating; direct, indirect and induced $8.0M Construction \u2014 one-time output total over the build period 26.1 Construction \u2014 job-years temporary, not permanent positions $340...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:004", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $8.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$8.0M", "provenance": "Summary of findings $5.4M Annual Operations \u2014 annual output every year at full operation 35.0 Annual Operations \u2014 jobs supported recurring while operating; direct, indirect and induced $8.0M Construction \u2014 one-time output total over the build period 26.1 Construction \u2014 job-years temporary, not permanent positions $340...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:005", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $340,912.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$340,912", "provenance": "Summary of findings $5.4M Annual Operations \u2014 annual output every year at full operation 35.0 Annual Operations \u2014 jobs supported recurring while operating; direct, indirect and induced $8.0M Construction \u2014 one-time output total over the build period 26.1 Construction \u2014 job-years temporary, not permanent positions $340...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:006", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $2.1M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$2.1M", "provenance": "28% of its demand is spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed before any figure above was computed, and $5.4M is what remains.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:007", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $5.4M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$5.4M", "provenance": "28% of its demand is spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed before any figure above was computed, and $5.4M is what remains.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:008", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $58.8M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$58.8M", "provenance": "Over the 2026\u20132037 horizon the project generates $58.8M in total regional output undiscounted, or $47.0M in present value at 4.0%.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:009", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $47.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$47.0M", "provenance": "Over the 2026\u20132037 horizon the project generates $58.8M in total regional output undiscounted, or $47.0M in present value at 4.0%.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:010", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 35.0 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "35.0", "provenance": "Once construction ends and operations reach full capacity, the recurring level is 35.0 jobs \u2014 the figure a community experiences year after year, and the one that should anchor any long-run expectation.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:011", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 35 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "35", "provenance": "Figure Size Against How big that is What it says Annual Operations: jobs supported, per year 35 jobs all jobs in Illustrative County 20,000 jobs The project accounts for 0.17% of all jobs in Illustrative County.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:012", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 20,000 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "20,000", "provenance": "Figure Size Against How big that is What it says Annual Operations: jobs supported, per year 35 jobs all jobs in Illustrative County 20,000 jobs The project accounts for 0.17% of all jobs in Illustrative County.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:013", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.3M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.3M", "provenance": "Annual Operations: value added, per year $2.3M the whole economy of Illustrative County (value added, which is what a county's GDP measures) $1.85B The project accounts for 0.13% of everything Illustrative County produces in a year.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:014", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $1.85B.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.85B", "provenance": "Annual Operations: value added, per year $2.3M the whole economy of Illustrative County (value added, which is what a county's GDP measures) $1.85B The project accounts for 0.13% of everything Illustrative County produces in a year.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:015", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 241 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "241", "provenance": "The project is smaller than every industry in this region: the smallest, Manufacturing, supports 241 jobs against the project\u2019s 35.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:016", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $5.4M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$5.4M", "provenance": "Annual Operations: output, $5.4M What is withheld.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:017", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $11.2bn.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$11.2bn", "provenance": "That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced by swapping one word, in a table whose gloss on the output row read that GDP is a measure of the overall size of the economy.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:018", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $6.96bn.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$6.96bn", "provenance": "That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced by swapping one word, in a table whose gloss on the output row read that GDP is a measure of the overall size of the economy.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:019", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.3M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$2.3M", "provenance": "Value added is the comparable figure, and it is anchored above at $2.3M.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:020", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 26 job-years.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "26", "provenance": "Construction: 26 job-years What is withheld.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "job-years", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:021", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $0.333.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$0.333", "provenance": "The ratio itself is on the record: $0.333 of local consumption per $1.00 of local labor income, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:022", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.00.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.00", "provenance": "The ratio itself is on the record: $0.333 of local consumption per $1.00 of local labor income, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:023", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $5.9M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$5.9M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:024", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.0M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:025", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.1M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.1M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:026", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $8.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$8.0M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:027", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $2.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.0M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:028", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $330k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$330k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:029", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $384k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$384k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:030", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.7M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.7M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:031", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.3M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.3M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:032", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $410k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$410k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:033", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $456k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$456k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:034", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $3.2M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$3.2M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $5.9M $5.9M Output \u2014 Indirect: $1.0M $1.0M Output \u2014 Induced: $1.1M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $2.0M $2.0M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $330k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $384k $2.7M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $2.3M $2.3M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $410k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:035", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $5.9M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$5.9M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:036", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.0M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:037", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.1M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.1M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:038", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $8.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$8.0M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:039", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $2.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.0M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:040", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $329,963.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$329,963", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:041", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $384,143.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$384,143", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:042", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.7M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.7M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:043", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.3M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.3M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:044", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $409,987.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$409,987", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:045", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $455,935.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$455,935", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:046", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $3.2M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$3.2M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $5.9M $1.0M $1.1M $8.0M Labor income $2.0M $329,963 $384,143 $2.7M Value added $2.3M $409,987 $455,935 $3.2M Employment 16.8 4.1 5.2 26.1 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 17 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:047", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $4.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$4.0M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:048", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $618k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$618k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:049", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $764k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$764k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:050", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $5.4M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$5.4M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:051", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.5M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.5M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:052", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $190k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$190k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:053", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $279k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$279k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:054", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.0M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:055", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $1.7M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.7M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:056", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $239k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$239k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:057", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $331k.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$331k", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:058", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.3M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.3M", "provenance": "Direct Indirect Induced Output Output \u2014 Direct: $4.0M $4.0M Output \u2014 Indirect: $618k $618k Output \u2014 Induced: $764k $764k $5.4M Labor income Labor income \u2014 Direct: $1.5M $1.5M Labor income \u2014 Indirect: $190k Labor income \u2014 Induced: $279k $2.0M Value added Value added \u2014 Direct: $1.7M $1.7M Value added \u2014 Indirect: $239k V...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:059", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $4.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$4.0M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:060", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $618,222.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$618,222", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:061", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $763,901.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$763,901", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:062", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $5.4M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$5.4M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:063", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.5M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.5M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:064", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $189,986.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$189,986", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:065", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $279,161.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$279,161", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:066", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.0M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:067", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $1.7M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1.7M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:068", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $239,027.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$239,027", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:069", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $331,334.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$331,334", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:070", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $2.3M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$2.3M", "provenance": "Measure Direct Indirect Induced Total Output $4.0M $618,222 $763,901 $5.4M Labor income $1.5M $189,986 $279,161 $2.0M Value added $1.7M $239,027 $331,334 $2.3M Employment 28.8 2.4 3.8 35.0 The arithmetic, in words: the project itself accounts for 29 of these.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:071", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $5.4M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$5.4M", "provenance": "$0 $2.7M $5.4M 2026: $4.0M 2026 2027: $4.0M 2027 2028: $3.2M 2028 2029: $4.3M 2029 2030: $5.4M 2030 2031: $5.4M 2031 2032: $5.4M 2032 2033: $5.4M 2033 2034: $5.4M 2034 2035: $5.4M 2035 2036: $5.4M 2036 2037: $5.4M 2037 Regional output by year.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:072", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $4.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$4.0M", "provenance": "Year Regional output Jobs in that year Recurring or not 2026 $4.0M 13.1 not yet at the recurring level 2027 $4.0M 13.1 not yet at the recurring level 2028 $3.2M 21.0 not yet at the recurring level 2029 $4.3M 28.0 not yet at the recurring level 2030 $5.4M 35.0 at the recurring level 2031 $5.4M 35.0 at the recurring lev...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:073", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 35.0 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "35.0", "provenance": "The recurring level is 35.0 jobs , and the 4 years before it are lower because construction and ramp-up have not yet given way to full operation; work counted in those years lasts as long as the year it sits in rather than continuing after it.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:074", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $58.8M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$58.8M", "provenance": "$58.8M Total output, undiscounted 2026\u20132037 $47.0M Total output, present value discounted at 4.0% 35.0 Steady-state jobs recurring, once ramped Undiscounted versus present value The undiscounted total and the present value describe the same stream of activity.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:075", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $47.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$47.0M", "provenance": "$58.8M Total output, undiscounted 2026\u20132037 $47.0M Total output, present value discounted at 4.0% 35.0 Steady-state jobs recurring, once ramped Undiscounted versus present value The undiscounted total and the present value describe the same stream of activity.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:076", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Tax and fiscal revenue claim: $122,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$122,000", "provenance": "Fiscal impact $122,000 Local government each year at full operation $218,912 State government each year at full operation $467,611 Federal each year at full operation Why there is no tribal line No tribal rate appears in the Illustrative County tax structure, so there is no tribal line above.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:077", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Tax and fiscal revenue claim: $218,912.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$218,912", "provenance": "Fiscal impact $122,000 Local government each year at full operation $218,912 State government each year at full operation $467,611 Federal each year at full operation Why there is no tribal line No tribal rate appears in the Illustrative County tax structure, so there is no tribal line above.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:078", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $208,073.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$208,073", "provenance": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:079", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Tax and fiscal revenue claim: $127,529.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$127,529", "provenance": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:080", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Tax and fiscal revenue claim: $226,949.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$226,949", "provenance": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:081", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Tax and fiscal revenue claim: $245,973.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$245,973", "provenance": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:082", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Tax and fiscal revenue claim: $808,523.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$808,523", "provenance": "Revenue source Each year at full operation Sales and Excise $208,073 Property $127,529 Personal Income $226,949 Social Insurance $245,973 Total $808,523 How to read these figures Tax structure: Illustrative County (Project Red Team illustrative rates \u2014 replace with jurisdiction actuals) Tax revenue is derived from ave...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "tax_fiscal_revenue", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:083", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1M", "provenance": "Type II (closed on households at the accounts-implied rate) Industry Output Labor income Jobs per $1M AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing 1.162 0.276 3.8 MIN \u2014 Mining and resource extraction 1.183 0.283 3.8 UTL \u2014 Utilities 1.386 0.469 4.3 CON \u2014 Construction 1.355 0.461 4.2 MFG \u2014 Manufacturing 1.766 0.524 5.2 WHL...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:084", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 35 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "35", "provenance": "The modeled job mix averages 26% below the region's median wage The modeled job mix for 35 jobs averages 26% below the regional median wage ($34,250 job-weighted average wage against a $46,000 median).", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:085", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 34,250 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "34,250", "provenance": "The modeled job mix averages 26% below the region's median wage The modeled job mix for 35 jobs averages 26% below the regional median wage ($34,250 job-weighted average wage against a $46,000 median).", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:086", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 2.4 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "2.4", "provenance": "below 0.75x median below 0.75x median: 28.2 28.2 0.75x - 1.25x median 0.75x - 1.25x median: 4.4 4.4 above 1.25x median above 1.25x median: 2.4 2.4 Jobs supported, by what they pay relative to the region's median wage.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:087", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $25,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$25,000", "provenance": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:088", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $50,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$50,000", "provenance": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:089", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $75,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$75,000", "provenance": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:090", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $100,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$100,000", "provenance": "Share of new labor income Share of regional households Under $25,000 Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 34.9% 35% Under $25,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 22.0% 22% $25,000 - $50,000 $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of new labor income: 32.3% 32% $25,000 - $50,000 \u2014 Share of regional households: 27.0% 27% $50,00...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:091", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 8.9 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "8.9", "provenance": "Occupation Jobs Share Average wage Food service workers 8.9 25.3% $24,500 Housekeeping and cleaning 4.0 11.3% $26,000 Recreation and fitness workers 3.5 10.0% $29,000 Front-desk and clerks 3.3 9.3% $30,500 Supervisors and managers 2.9 8.4% $47,441 Retail salespersons 2.1 6.1% $31,000 Maintenance 1.4 4.0% $38,000 Cashi...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:092", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 3.5 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "3.5", "provenance": "Occupation Jobs Share Average wage Food service workers 8.9 25.3% $24,500 Housekeeping and cleaning 4.0 11.3% $26,000 Recreation and fitness workers 3.5 10.0% $29,000 Front-desk and clerks 3.3 9.3% $30,500 Supervisors and managers 2.9 8.4% $47,441 Retail salespersons 2.1 6.1% $31,000 Maintenance 1.4 4.0% $38,000 Cashi...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:093", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $947.5M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$947.5M", "provenance": "Key sector Buys locally Depended upon Share of output FIN \u2014 Finance, insurance, and real estate 1.04 1.01 7.5% The largest exposure is agriculture, forestry, and fishing: at most $947.5M of regional output goes with it AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forest\u2026 AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing: $947.5M $947.5M RET \u2014 Retail tr...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:094", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $537.4M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$537.4M", "provenance": "Key sector Buys locally Depended upon Share of output FIN \u2014 Finance, insurance, and real estate 1.04 1.01 7.5% The largest exposure is agriculture, forestry, and fishing: at most $947.5M of regional output goes with it AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forest\u2026 AGR \u2014 Agriculture, forestry, and fishing: $947.5M $947.5M RET \u2014 Retail tr...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:095", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $213.8M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$213.8M", "provenance": "Commodity Imported Local share Regional output Scale Largest buyers MFG \u2014 Manufacturing $213.8M 8% $126.9M 1.7x AGR, MIN, RET RET \u2014 Retail trade $146.4M 32% $659.9M 0.2x AGR, MIN, HLT TRN \u2014 Transportation and warehousing $141.6M 25% $242.6M 0.6x AGR, MIN, RET WHL \u2014 Wholesale trade $133.8M 22% $187.3M 0.7x AGR, HLT, AC...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:096", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $126.9M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$126.9M", "provenance": "Commodity Imported Local share Regional output Scale Largest buyers MFG \u2014 Manufacturing $213.8M 8% $126.9M 1.7x AGR, MIN, RET RET \u2014 Retail trade $146.4M 32% $659.9M 0.2x AGR, MIN, HLT TRN \u2014 Transportation and warehousing $141.6M 25% $242.6M 0.6x AGR, MIN, RET WHL \u2014 Wholesale trade $133.8M 22% $187.3M 0.7x AGR, HLT, AC...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:097", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $8.5M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$8.5M", "provenance": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:098", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $2.6M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$2.6M", "provenance": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:099", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $1.9M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$1.9M", "provenance": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:100", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $65,875.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$65,875", "provenance": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:101", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $2,578,995.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$2,578,995", "provenance": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:102", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $8,500,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$8,500,000", "provenance": "Commodity Study assumes Table implies Gap Spending Local demand at stake CON \u2014 Construction 62% 32% +30% $8.5M $2.6M ACC \u2014 Accommodation, food service, and recreation 100% (not stated) 38% +62% $1.6M $995,227 RET \u2014 Retail trade 100% (not stated) 32% +68% $912,000 $622,559 PRO \u2014 Professional and business services 100%...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:103", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $2,578,995.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$2,578,995", "provenance": "Construction: the study assumes 62% of this spending is met by local producers and this region's table implies 32% \u2014 30% more local content than its structure supports, worth $2,578,995 of local final demand on $8,500,000 of spending.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:104", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $8,500,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$8,500,000", "provenance": "Construction: the study assumes 62% of this spending is met by local producers and this region's table implies 32% \u2014 30% more local content than its structure supports, worth $2,578,995 of local final demand on $8,500,000 of spending.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.78, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "high", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:105", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $1,596,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1,596,000", "provenance": "Accommodation, food service, and recreation: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $1,596,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:106", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $912,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$912,000", "provenance": "Retail trade: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $912,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:107", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $304,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$304,000", "provenance": "Professional and business services: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $304,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:108", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $342,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$342,000", "provenance": "Transportation and warehousing: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $342,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:109", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $266,000.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$266,000", "provenance": "Health, education, and social services: no local purchase percentage was stated, so all $266,000 of this spending was treated as locally produced.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:110", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 34,250 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "34,250", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:111", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $2.1M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$2.1M", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:112", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $2.0M.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$2.0M", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:113", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $11.2bn.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$11.2bn", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:114", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $11.2bn.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$11.2bn", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:115", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $1.85B.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$1.85B", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:116", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $6.96bn.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$6.96bn", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:117", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Value added, comparable to local GDP claim: $477,274.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted near a table or figure reference", "value": "$477,274", "provenance": "Figure Where it is stated Nearest tabulated figure $2.1M \u2026 spending the region would have seen anyway, so $2.1M of gross output was removed \u2026 $2.0M $11.2bn That report headlined an $11.2bn increase in the size of a \u2026 $1.85B $6.96bn \u2026 state's economy where its own value added was $6.96bn, a 61% overstatement produced \u2026...", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "value_added_gdp", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.61, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "value_added_gdp", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "near table/figure reference" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "near table/figure reference" }, { "observation_id": "claim:118", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 20,000 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "20,000", "provenance": "regional employment: 20,000 jobs across 12 sectors from BLS QCEW; suppression: two suppressed cells filled from the state ratio for the same sector 3.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:119", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $1.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1", "provenance": "induced effects illustrative household closure at the accounts-implied consumption rate Lbar = (I - Abar)^-1 with a household row and column Local consumption per $1 of local labor income = $0.333, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:120", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Labor income claim: $0.333.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$0.333", "provenance": "induced effects illustrative household closure at the accounts-implied consumption rate Lbar = (I - Abar)^-1 with a household row and column Local consumption per $1 of local labor income = $0.333, taken from the household column of the regional accounts rather than assumed.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "labor_income", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "labor_income", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:121", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Output, a measure of activity not of wealth claim: $1.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "$1", "provenance": "employment event: Facility staff estimated job count converted to industry output output = jobs / (jobs per $1 of output) The 22 stated jobs have the same output per worker as the regional average for ACC.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "output_economic_activity", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.45, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "output_economic_activity", "confidence": "low", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "dollars", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "claim:122", "kind": "hypothesis_evidence_atom", "claim": "Jobs claim: 1.25 jobs.", "consequence": "Carried into the audit claim inventory; quote only with the attached snippet, source clue, confidence, and gate results.", "authority": "Extracted from report sentence", "value": "1.25", "provenance": "1.25 workers and 2.4 people per household.", "vintage": "2024", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "jobs", "direction": "neutral", "weight": 0.62, "diagnostics": { "raw_metric_family": "jobs", "confidence": "medium", "source_clue": "same sentence" }, "unit": "jobs", "source_type": "same sentence" }, { "observation_id": "missing_public_cost_side", "kind": "missing_expected_evidence", "claim": "Missing expected evidence: Public service costs, abatements, incentives, or other cost-side fiscal evidence.", "consequence": "Gross tax revenue may be mistaken for net fiscal benefit.", "authority": "IMPLAN Audit Mode fiscal_truth_gate", "value": "fail", "provenance": "", "vintage": "", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": true, "used": true, "signal_family": "fiscal_truth_gate", "direction": "adverse", "weight": 1.0, "diagnostics": { "reason": "Tax or fiscal revenue appears without a detected public cost-side ledger.", "related_gate": "fiscal_truth_gate", "expected": "Public service costs, abatements, incentives, or other cost-side fiscal evidence" }, "unit": "severity", "source_type": "missing_report_evidence" }, { "observation_id": "missing_model_year", "kind": "missing_expected_evidence", "claim": "Missing expected evidence: Model year or data year.", "consequence": "Model structure may not match the spending period.", "authority": "IMPLAN Audit Mode model_vintage_gate", "value": "fail", "provenance": "", "vintage": "", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": true, "used": true, "signal_family": "model_vintage_gate", "direction": "adverse", "weight": 1.0, "diagnostics": { "reason": "RIMS II is named, but no model/data year was detected.", "related_gate": "model_vintage_gate", "expected": "Model year or data year" }, "unit": "severity", "source_type": "missing_report_evidence" }, { "observation_id": "missing_tax_retention_or_netting", "kind": "missing_expected_evidence", "claim": "Missing expected evidence: Gross-vs-net tax treatment and retention/abatement assumptions.", "consequence": "A gross tax collection can be mistaken for fiscal benefit to the decision maker.", "authority": "IMPLAN Audit Mode tax_gross_vs_net_gate", "value": "fail", "provenance": "", "vintage": "", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": true, "used": true, "signal_family": "tax_gross_vs_net_gate", "direction": "adverse", "weight": 1.0, "diagnostics": { "reason": "Tax revenue appears without gross/net or tax-retention language.", "related_gate": "tax_gross_vs_net_gate", "expected": "Gross-vs-net tax treatment and retention/abatement assumptions" }, "unit": "severity", "source_type": "missing_report_evidence" }, { "observation_id": "weak_survey_coverage", "kind": "data_quality_penalty", "claim": "Survey response coverage appears weak.", "consequence": "Primary inputs may be directionally biased or too sparse for the claimed precision.", "authority": "IMPLAN Audit Mode survey_adequacy_gate", "value": "warn", "provenance": "Survey coverage appears weak: 7 of 39 responses were detected.", "vintage": "", "checksum": "", "supports": {}, "contradicts": {}, "missing": false, "used": true, "signal_family": "survey_adequacy_gate", "direction": "adverse", "weight": 0.65, "diagnostics": { "reason": "Survey coverage appears weak: 7 of 39 responses were detected.", "related_gate": "survey_adequacy_gate" }, "unit": "severity", "source_type": "extracted_report_text" } ] }, "source_status": { "source_file": "prt-synth-study.html", "source_kind": "html", "source_sha256": "3f30c7ac85181e3f44508990e29e4eeb2672634c173662c3e9a2f59a4f868f1a", "extraction_method": "read_text_utf8_replace", "source_status": "audit_safe", "source_readiness": 1.0, "text_extraction_quality": 1.0, "table_reconstruction_coverage": null, "confidence": 1.0, "pages": 0, "tables": 41, "text_lines": 1986, "table_lines": 0, "notes": [], "summary": "audit-safe: HTML; plain-text extraction; 1,986 text lines; 41 tables; 100% text extraction quality; HTML table markup supplied; 100% source readiness" }, "detector_status": { "mode": "learned model plus rules", "note": "Measured on the shipped audit predicate (rules/exemplar scorer plus the learned detector), on 3 held-out studies chosen by document hash: finds 76% of labelled qualifications. On the representative held-out sample it flagged 14 sentences and 6 were false positives, so about 4 in 10 flags were not qualifications; pooling the exhaustive positive-find pass with that sample gives 82% precision, which is useful but too flattering as a field-rate estimate. Observed document recalls ranged 67%-87%, but the intervals overlap; current evidence does not prove recall varies by house style. Cross-study comparison therefore needs the same extraction basis and a rank-stability check, not just raw counts.", "recall": 0.76, "precision": 0.57, "pooled_precision": 0.82, "observed_document_recall_range": "67% to 87%" }, "summary": { "release_safety": "not release-safe", "verdict": "not release-safe: at least one check failed and the headline claims should not travel yet.", "top_3_risks": [ "fiscal_truth_gate: Fiscal revenue is detected, but no cost-side or net-fiscal treatment was detected.", "model_vintage_gate: RIMS II is named, but no model or data year was detected.", "tax_gross_vs_net_gate: Tax claims are detected, but gross-vs-net treatment was not detected." ] } }