Project Red Team - Location Decision Engine
Location Decision Memo
Klamath Midpoint leads this comparison on the evidence in the pack. The ranking has not been shown to hold, so it is a provisional leader and not yet a site recommendation. It leads Bend South by 0.0375 on the 0-to-1 weighted scale this pack ranks on, where 1 is the best any candidate achieved on a component and 0 the worst. Confidence: a thin margin over the runner-up. Conditions: Run parcel-level utilities and wetland screen before acquisition.
Ranked Locations
| Rank | Candidate | Status | Score | Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klamath Midpoint | evaluated | 0.7180 | Run parcel-level utilities and wetland screen before acquisition. |
| 2 | Bend South | evaluated | 0.6805 | Test whether higher local capture is displacement rather than new demand. |
| 3 | Weed Gateway | evaluated | 0.5350 | Confirm California entitlement path before public release. |
Why This Candidate Leads On Current Evidence
| Component | Value | Unit | Score (0-1, higher is better) | Weight (share of the total, sums to 1) | Tier | Source | Consequence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regional access | 0.75 | score | 0.75 | 0.25 | declared | demo corridor screen | increases rank because it reaches both north and south demand pools |
| Net new capture | 0.7 | share | 0.7 | 0.3 | declared | demo trade-area screen | increases rank because capture is less purely local displacement |
| Fiscal readiness | 0.69 | score | 0.69 | 0.2 | declared | demo fiscal screen | supports rank because tax and service geography is legible |
| Entitlement readiness | 0.73 | score | 0.73 | 0.25 | declared | demo regulatory screen | supports rank subject to parcel-level confirmation |
Score rates this component for this candidate on a 0-to-1 scale where 1 is the best any candidate achieved and 0 the worst; it is a ranking aid calibrated against the other candidates in this comparison and against nothing outside it. Weight is that component's share of the total, and the weights sum to 1.
What Could Change The Answer
- A small movement in weighted components could move Bend South ahead of Klamath Midpoint; run correlated propagation before making this a final siting recommendation.
Not Established
- Correlated candidate propagation has not been run; ranking is a deterministic comparison of the supplied or solved components.
- The ranking of these candidates is not established. It has not been resampled, so the order it reports is one deterministic run and the flip conditions state what would move it.
- No win probability is established. Nothing in this run estimates how often each candidate would come first if the inputs were resampled.
This memo compares the candidate evidence carried by the Location Decision Engine. A full siting opinion requires each candidate to remain tied to its source data, model run, gates, and reviewer trace.